Head and Shoulders Top

Тема в разделе "Аналитика Forex", создана пользователем freeforex20, 25 май 2019.

  1. freeforex20

    freeforex20 Новичок

    Head and Shoulders Top


    There are a number of patterns and trends that can be applied. The Peaks is one of the most peculiarities of the world. It can be connected to form support, or a neckline.


    The neckline is the neckline of the left shoulder, the neckline. If you’re a model, you’re turned out to be a breakthrough. We will be looking at each of them individually.


    Prior Trend: It is important to establish a reversal pattern. Without a prior uptrend to reverse, there can’t be a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern.


    The left-hand side of the current trend. After making this peak, there is a decline followed by the formation of the shoulder (1). Below the trend line, keeping the uptrend intact.


    It is a clear sign that the head is from the bottom. After peaking, the second point of the neckline (2). The bottom of the decline, the line breaks the line up, the line of the decline.


    Right Shoulder: The advance from the low of the head forms the right shoulder. This peak is lower than the head (a lower high) and usually in line with the high of the left shoulder. While symmetry is preferred, sometimes the shoulders can be out of whack. The decline from the peak of the right shoulder should break the neckline.


    Neckline: The neckline forms by connecting low points 1 and 2. Low point 1 marks the end of the left shoulder and the beginning of the head. Low point 2 marks the end of the head and the beginning of the right shoulder. Depending on the relationship between the two low points, the neckline can slope up, slope down or be horizontal. The slope of the neckline will affect the pattern's degree of bearishness—a downward slope is more bearish than an upward slope. In some cases, multiple low points can be used to form the neckline.


    Volume: As the Head and Shoulders pattern unfolds, volume plays an important role in confirmation. Volume can be measured as an indicator (OBV, Chaikin Money Flow) or simply by analyzing volume levels. Ideally, but not always, volume during the advance of the left shoulder should be higher than during the advance of the head. Together, the decrease in volume and the new high of the head serve as a warning sign. The next warning sign comes when volume increases on the decline from the peak of the head, then decreases during the advance of the right shoulder. Final confirmation comes when volume further increases during the decline of the right shoulder.


    Neckline Break: The head and shoulders pattern is not complete and the uptrend is not reversed until neckline support is broken. Ideally, this should also occur in a convincing manner, with an expansion in volume.


    Support Turned Resistance: Once support is broken, it is common for this same support level to turn into resistance. Sometimes, but certainly not always, the price will return to the support break, and offer a second chance to sell.


    Price Target: After breaking neckline support, the projected price decline is found by measuring the distance from the neckline to the top of the head. This distance is then subtracted from the neckline to reach a price target. Any price target should serve as a rough guide, and other factors should be considered as well. These factors might include previous support levels, Fibonacci retracements, or long-term moving averages.



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